Values Voter News thus far has found Rasmussen to have been the most accurate polling company in the 2008 election and 2004 only being half percentage point off so, for time sake has stuck with Rasmussen for the most part.
After having quite a rebound in the same poll after Obama's speech (see: Sebelius says Obama will change current bill to explicitly ban abortion and then concedes "Verification will be required.." to insure citizenship) likely voters have overwhelmingly returned to their highest opposition and lowest support yet. See: Opposition to Health Care Reform Reaches New High at 55%. Which probably explains why only 12% Say Most Opponents of Obama Health Care Plan Are Racist. Update 09/17/2009 Support for Health Care Reform Hasn’t Budged Since July 53% to 44% disapproval. Update 09/18/2009 Opposition to Health Care Plan Hits another New High of 56%.
ObamaCare seems to be translating into democrat losses in the Senate and elsewhere. Now it may not just be ObamaCare but an over all feeling of government becoming to big in more then just healthcare. This unpopularity seemed to start with the bailout under Bush that McCain and Obama helped push in '08 and then continued under Obama with more in '09. That decision was not a popular one at all. Below is copy of recent polling amongst likely voters and in every race Republicans are ahead by sizeable margins.
Republican challenger Chris Christie continues to lead incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine in the race for New Jersey governor.
In the race to become the next Governor of Virginia, Republican Robert F. McDonnell retains a steady lead over Democrat R. Creigh Deeds. Update 09/18/2009 Race became closer as Republican leads now by only 2%.
Update 09/17/2009 Election 2010: North Carolina Senate
2010 North Carolina Senate: GOP’s Burr Tops Foes by 10 Or More
Republican Kelly Ayotte leads Democrat Paul Hodes by eight points in an early look at New Hampshire’s 2010 race for the U.S. Senate.
Next year’s U.S. Senate race in Colorado is a lot more crowded this week, and incumbent Michael Bennet has some serious competition on hand.
In what is currently a difficult political climate for Democrats, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid trails two potential Republican challengers seeking to unseat him as he faces reelection next year in Nevada.
Longtime Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd, tarnished by last year's financial blow-up, continues to struggle as he prepares for a reelection bid in 2010.
Bill Ritter trounced his Republican opponent to win Colorado’s governorship in 2006, but now in a state that has been trending Democratic and even hosted the party’s national convention last year, the incumbent Democrat may be facing problems in his 2010 reelection bid.
An early look at the 2010 election cycle finds that Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick has some work to do if he wants to win reelection.
Republican Governor Charlie Crist continues to maintain a sizable lead over his chief Democratic opponent, Rep. Kendrick Meek, in Florida’s 2010 race for the U.S. Senate.
Republican hopeful Mark Kirk finds himself starting out even in a Senate race against his likeliest Democratic competitor, State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias.
Uncomfortable town hall meetings are just the tip of the iceberg for Pennsylvania Senator Arlen Specter. He now trails Republican Pat Toomey by double digits in his bid for reelection next year and is viewed unfavorably by a majority of the state’s voters.
It’s a knockout for Rudy Giuliani if he’s the Republican candidate for governor in New York next year running against incumbent Democrat David Paterson. But if Andrew Cuomo is Giuliani’s opponent, chalk up a win for the Democrat. At least that’s the way it looks in the summer of 2009.
In an early look of Florida’s 2010 Governor’s race, Republican Attorney General Bill McCollum leads Democratic State Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink 42% to 34%.
The one and only race that is not being won by a Republican is in California between Barbara Boxer and Carly Fiorina. However, Carly has yet to officially announce running at the time of that poll and that poll was done almost two months ago. See poll here.
Update 09/17/2009 The only other hopeful for Democrats is Election 2010: New Hampshire Governor's Race.-Democrats’ Lynch Has Little To Fear So Far in 2010 New Hampshire Governor’s Race
